Political Prediction Predicated on Perceived Predisposed Perceptions

So, Who do you think will win the presidential race contest between Williard (Mitt) Romney and Barack Hussein Obama?

Everyone has a "filter" through which they perceive the world based on their life experiences which in turn are influenced  by their parents, educational, religious,ethnic, and gender background. Many people can experience the same event such as a political event and "see" a different result based on what is important to them and their " core" beliefs and how each of us "filters" all the information that bombards us each day as we classify this information based on our perceived predisposed perceptions. That being said, there is often a difference between "reality" and "hoped for reality".

My political prediction is as follows
 ROMNEY   52%      OBAMA 47%      JOHNSON 1%

What's your prediction?

My prediction is based on the lousy economy, ineffective foreign policy of Obama, unpopularity of "Obamacare", and a greater perceived enthusiasm by the republicans vs the democrats. Many recent polls have over weighted the democrat component of the poll sample as the "main stream media" has shrugged off the role of even partially trying to do their job of being objective reporters and instead have taken up the "pompoms" to cheer for Obama.

So, do you agree or disagree with me? Are MY perceived predisposed perceptions clouding the "reality" of an "Obama landslide"? It is perhaps possible. OR, is it the media bias that is boosting Obama and trashing Romney that more closely mirrors the true political reality? Time will tell.

Chestnuts and Chet's Nuts

I found these chestnuts today under a chestnut tree as the old saying goes"the chestnut doesn't fall far from the tree". I'm going to try to roast them somehow; maybe over an open fire. I remember being in New York City in past years and purchasing roast chestnuts from the street vendors. I guess falling nuts is another sign that Fall is just around the corner. Those chestnut shells are interesting looking. I'd hate to get hit in the face from a thrown chestnut in its shell as those chestnut shell spikes would probably lease quite a bloody trail.

Chestnuts remind me of Christmas and Winter. Chestnuts also remind me of a Reader's Digest cartoon that my 90 plus year old real estate partner once showed me. In the cartoon they show a naked man jumping over a fire and yelling "Yowwwwowwowwow!" The words under the cartoon picture said "Chet's nuts roasting over an open fire".

"Arab Spring Leading to Late Summer Fall"

Sometimes events once started do not always lead to a better outcome than the previous "status quo." With regard  to the "Arab Spring" movement that swept across Northern Africa; is this situation better for America and the world in general? With Egyptian President Mubarak, Israel had a peace treaty, Egyptian women had some "rights"and the Coptic Christian minority was not persecuted. Now, the "Muslim Brotherhood" is in charge of Egypt and they want to exterminate the Egyptian Christians, disregard the peace treaty with Israel and institute "Sharia law" with very strict codes of behavior. This is "Change", but is this Progress?  The "Brotherhood" will still take our foreign aid I'm sure but will probably use this aid to purchase weapons to prepare for attacking Israel.

In Libya, Qaddafi renounced his nuclear program after the fall from power of Saddam Hussein. After the American aided "Arab Spring" swept through Libya as seen on today's news the American ambassador to Libya is killed along with other Americans. Is this a better situation than with Qaddafi?

Part of the recent Muslim Uprising is reminiscent of the movie "Spartacus" when all the slaves said "I am Spartacus". In this instance, the militants are saying "I am Osama". President Obama and the democrats have a campaign slogan "GM Lives and Osama Died". How is this not "spiking the football" and helping to incite increased tension throughout the Muslim Middle East?

I know one thing, I personally can't see how any "Jewish-Americans" can support the re-election of Obama and the democrats after their convention platform initially planned to remove Jerusalem as the recognized capital of Israel and references to "GOD" before re-inserting this statement to a loud chorus of "BOOOOOO's". President Obama had time to have an interview with some "gimpy rapper dude" and schedule an appearance on the David Letterman Show but is too busy to meet with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu.   President Obama from what I have heard is too busy to receive many of the daily security briefings that interfere with his campaign schedule and his fundraising efforts. Maybe he would have beefed up embassy security throughout the Middle East if he did his job once in a while.

Are we on the "Eve of Destruction"? Time will tell.

Are YOU Better Off?

Are you better off today than you were four years ago? Well, the democrats are saying YES! "America has turned the corner" according to "average Joe Biden. Hmm, by what criteria do the democrats come to this conclusion? I'm not sure.

Is it the rise in gasoline prices from approximately $1.80 per gallon to approximately $3.83 per gallon today?

Is it the pledge by 2008 candidate Obama to reduce the then 10 trillion dollar federal deficit by half over the four years of his term only to see the deficit rise to 16 trillion dollars?

Is it the anemic job employment numbers and the reduced total worker participation numbers under the Obama term with 43 months of over 8% unemployment?

Is it the weak response to the massive BP oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico ?

Is it "Obama care" with the approximately 20 new tax increases found in the over 2,000 page bill that if enacted will start to ration health care by determining the expected quality and number  of remaining years and denying approval of treatment for people whose "effective number" doesn't add up?

Is it the record 46.7 million American on food stamps?

I don't know. What do you think? If  the goal of Obama and the democrats is to have a country more dependent on the federal government, then, they are succeeding at their goal. But, if you want a country where more people are employed, where energy prices are more reasonable with American produced oil and gas, where federal spending is reduced so that the federal deficit doesn't continue to increase further out of control,THEN for these reasons alone to name a few we as a country are NOT better off under the Obama presidency. And, to paraphrase Clint Eastwood, if somebody isn't doing the job then they have to go. Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan have the experience, economic intellect, and a pro-business attitude necessary to be given the opportunity to turn this country and economy in the right direction and not FORWARD. over the cliff with the tired policies of big tax and big spend over regulation that is currently producing the weakest recovery since the great depression despite an over 800 billion dollar stimulus package.

The Supreme Scallion Sacrifice

Thanks you scallions for your supreme sacrifice of giving up your selves in such a selfless manner so that I may flavor some home made spaghetti sauce. Your anti-oxidant qualities, zesty flavor, and blood thinning qualities are much appreciated and I must admit that I did shed a tear or two while preparing you to meet your tomato friends. I do appreciate your efforts in battling the elements and insects while you grew and hope that you enjoyed your time in my garden. Although you were abruptly uprooted from your dirt rooted home today; I do hope you take some solace in the fact that I did plant your "offspring bulbs" found at the top of your green stalk so that your offspring will have a chance to grow next year and reach their true scallion potential. God bless you scallions.; hope you had the time of your life and I probably won't forget you.

The Rain Foreshadows the End of Obama's Rein?

Rains wash away Mount Obama in Charlotte, N.C. - Washington Times I see from this article that a hard rain came and washed away part of a grandiose sand sculpture crafted in tribute to our imperious leader "President and most esteemed Barack Hussein Obama". Does this rain foreshadow the end of Obama's reign of rule by fiat,czars, and executive orders? Time will tell and perhaps the rain was a foretell of the future. In a close election sometimes the fraudulent voters, the dead, and the ballot box" stuffers "make all the difference and many a die hard Democrat has been known to vote for his party long after he has shed his mortal coil.